Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
52%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SEV
3 - 0
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
SEV
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
4 - 0
STG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 3
ZUR
28%
25%
48%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GCZ
4 - 2
ZUR
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SIO
0 - 3
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +2 |