Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIO
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
BAS
21%
22%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 1
THU
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 0
VAS
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SIO
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |