Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
KRR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
KRR
2 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 2
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 4
BAS
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZUR
35%
24%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 3
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
4 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |