Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
77%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
GCZ
4 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
STG
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
ZUR
4 - 2
GCZ
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
ZUR
6 - 3
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |