Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
SER
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SER
1 - 4
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
NEX
4 - 2
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
NEX
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |