Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CSC
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 2
YOB
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
NOB
1 - 2
BAS
13%
23%
65%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
FCL
3 - 1
BAS
27%
22%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ZUR
4 - 1
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
CSC
1 - 3
ZUR
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
ZUR
4 - 0
YOB
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
LAU
2 - 2
ZUR
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |