Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1980 |
STG
3 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
BAS
6 - 1
NEX
74%
15%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
CSC
1 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
BAS
3 - 1
LAU
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
YOB
1 - 3
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1980 |
ZUR
3 - 1
LAC
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
SIO
3 - 2
ZUR
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
ZUR
1 - 3
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |