Basel vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
WIN
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
57%
22%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
BAS
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
SBR
3 - 3
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
HLI
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 1
ZAL
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
HLI
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PYU
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 4
ZAL
6%
16%
77%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |