Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2003 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BAS
6 - 0
NEX
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
WIL
4 - 5
BAS
30%
23%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
THU
1 - 2
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2003 |
GCZ
5 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
THU
3 - 1
SER
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |