Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
SER
1 - 4
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
LAU
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
STB
1 - 1
STG
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 1
STG
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
STG
2 - 1
STB
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
STG
4 - 1
YOB
60%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |