Basel vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 0
GCZ
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 4
BAS
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
FHV
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPB
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 1
GNK
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VST
2 - 1
SCP
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
GNK
2 - 1
SCP
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |