Basel vs Nordstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAS
18%
25%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 0
BUL
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
VEV
0 - 1
BAS
15%
24%
61%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
NOB
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SIO
3 - 2
NOB
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 0
LAU
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
NOB
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
NOB
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |