Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
11.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
SIO
2 - 2
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 5
BAS
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
BAS
8 - 2
FCL
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
BAS
8 - 2
FCL
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |