Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
2 - 3
BAS
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 4
ZUR
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
19%
23%
59%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
19%
24%
58%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAU
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |