Basel vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 1
GCZ
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
THU
0 - 3
BAS
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 1
BAS
6%
13%
81%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CVA
1 - 3
LUD
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LPL
2 - 2
LUD
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
VKP
2 - 2
LUD
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LUD
2 - 0
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
LUD
2 - 0
VKP
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |