Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
10º
1º
33
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
WIN
0 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
YOB
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 3
BAS
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
STG
3 - 1
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 0
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LAU
2 - 2
GCZ
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |