Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
STG
3 - 3
BAS
35%
25%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 1
BRE
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
YVE
1 - 2
BAS
15%
21%
65%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
YVE
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 0
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 4
STG
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |