Base 96 Seveso vs Busto 81 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base 96 Seveso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
UNI
16%
20%
65%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
LEN
24%
23%
52%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
TRA
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RHO
5 - 1
BAS
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Busto 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 0
MOZ
82%
12%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 4
BUS
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 0
RHO
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 0
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RON
0 - 1
BUS
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |