Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 4-3
CD Basconia vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
PEÑ
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GER
1 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 0
BFC
78%
15%
6%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RMC
4 - 0
BAS
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAU
53%
27%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
PEÑ
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ARE
53%
28%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SAB
2 - 0
PEÑ
58%
25%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SDM
0 - 4
PEÑ
65%
23%
12%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
GER
44%
31%
25%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |