CD Basconia vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
5 - 1
CDU
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
BAS
16%
24%
61%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
AFT
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 1
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
3 - 2
LEI
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
LEI
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 1
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 2
LEI
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |