FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 5-6
Barwell vs Redditch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 4
HED
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
2 - 7
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRO
29%
24%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RED
0 - 1
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
0 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Redditch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
RED
0 - 2
KIN
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
RED
4 - 2
COR
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HED
4 - 0
RED
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RED
0 - 1
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NUN
3 - 0
RED
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |