Barwell vs Cogenhoe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 4
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
WES
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
STO
2 - 3
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAL
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cogenhoe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COG
3 - 2
LEI
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
COG
3 - 0
SPE
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BED
0 - 6
COG
75%
16%
10%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
COG
0 - 0
TRI
51%
23%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |