Barwell vs Bideford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STN
2 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFT
2 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RED
0 - 1
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
BID
4 - 0
KET
67%
20%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BID
1 - 0
STA
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STN
5 - 3
BID
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
BID
1 - 2
CHI
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BID
3 - 2
HIT
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |