Barton Rovers vs Highworth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
17º
20º
20º
28
6º
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
HAR
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHA
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
BFC
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Highworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
HIG
1 - 0
THA
27%
24%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIG
2 - 3
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 2
HIG
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BIG
4 - 1
HIG
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HIG
1 - 2
PAU
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |