Barry Town vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
10º
1º
60
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABF
1 - 3
BAR
4%
11%
85%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAF
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 0
GOY
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 2
ABE
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CLC
1 - 1
LLA
8%
12%
80%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
6 - 0
ABE
67%
17%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 2
LLA
33%
21%
47%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
GOY
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
GOY
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |