Barry Town vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 3
BAR
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
LLA
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABF
1 - 3
BAR
4%
11%
85%
|
56 | 15 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUI
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
3 - 2
GRE
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEF
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 0
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 4
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |