League Two Round 43

Barrow vs Port Vale analysis

Barrow Port Vale
55 ELO 59
-2.7% Tilt -7.3%
3429º General ELO ranking 2511º
88º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Barrow
26.4%
Draw
33.5%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
Barrow
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.5%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barrow
+2%
-2%
Port Vale

ELO progression

Barrow
Port Vale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
LEY
Leyton Orient
2 - 0
Barrow
BAR
44%
27%
29%
57 57 0 0
13 Apr. 2021
BAR
Barrow
2 - 1
Exeter City
EXE
29%
26%
44%
56 61 5 +1
10 Apr. 2021
BAR
Barrow
2 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
43%
26%
31%
56 56 0 0
05 Apr. 2021
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Barrow
BAR
38%
27%
35%
56 52 4 0
02 Apr. 2021
BAR
Barrow
2 - 1
Newport County
NEW
29%
27%
44%
55 61 6 +1

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 0
Port Vale
POR
46%
25%
29%
58 57 1 0
10 Apr. 2021
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe
MOR
37%
27%
36%
57 59 2 +1
05 Apr. 2021
TOW
Harrogate Town
0 - 2
Port Vale
POR
42%
26%
32%
56 56 0 +1
02 Apr. 2021
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Exeter City
EXE
29%
27%
45%
55 61 6 +1
27 Mar. 2021
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 3
Port Vale
POR
58%
24%
19%
54 61 7 +1