FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-4
Barrow vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
HIN
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HYD
2 - 1
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
NUN
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
KET
3 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
TOW
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 3
LEE
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRO
0 - 2
BOU
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 1
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOU
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 4
SWA
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |