Los Barrios vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ECI
2 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
CDG
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
UDR
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
5 - 1
BAR
37%
27%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SRO
1 - 2
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CEU
2 - 0
CAS
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
CRD
11%
20%
70%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +9 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASJ
0 - 2
CAS
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |