Ascenso Apertura Fase Final. Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Barrio México vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrio México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAR
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
CSU
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
JAC
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ASE
0 - 0
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
LFC
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 1
COF
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MRP
1 - 2
ADC
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 1
JFC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 0
MUN
61%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EBC
0 - 2
ADC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |