Barillas vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PUE
5 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AYU
1 - 0
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 2
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SPD
0 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
IZT
2 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 2
AUR
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SPD
6 - 0
IZT
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IZT
0 - 2
DEP
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |