La Barrera vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COR
5 - 3
BAR
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 2
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 2
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 4
EST
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATC
2 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 1
ATC
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ATC
2 - 1
PAL
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CIU
2 - 1
ATC
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATC
2 - 3
LCF
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |