Barracas Central vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
4%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
COL
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
47%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
ITA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SUA
0 - 0
ARM
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LAM
2 - 1
SUA
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 2
VSC
33%
28%
40%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
SUA
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
SUA
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |