Barracas Central vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
DAL
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 3
BAR
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
RAF
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
STM
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
BAN
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
GIM
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
STM
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
FER
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |