Barracas Central vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
EST
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 3
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 3
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
PLA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 0
MER
32%
31%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MER
2 - 4
AND
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
DEF
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MER
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |