Barracas Central vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
INS
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 2
ALM
33%
32%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 3
SUA
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
RSA
2 - 0
ALM
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |