Carioca Série B1 Primera Ronda Jor. 3

Barra Mansa vs Queimados analysis

Barra Mansa Queimados
36 ELO 26
-12.8% Tilt -3.5%
23267º General ELO ranking 23274º
614º Country ELO ranking 621º
ELO win probability
54.2%
Barra Mansa
21.4%
Draw
24.3%
Queimados

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
Barra Mansa
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.4%
Win probability
Queimados
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Barra Mansa
Queimados
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barra Mansa
Barra Mansa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2017
AME
Americano
1 - 0
Barra Mansa
BAR
67%
20%
13%
36 45 9 0
27 May. 2017
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 0
Itaborai
ITA
18%
22%
60%
35 47 12 +1
11 Jun. 2016
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 4
Campos
CAM
37%
26%
37%
37 39 2 -2
08 Jun. 2016
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Barra Mansa
BAR
48%
27%
25%
37 42 5 0
04 Jun. 2016
BAR
Barra Mansa
1 - 0
Petrópolis
PET
28%
25%
47%
36 43 7 +1

Matches

Queimados
Queimados
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2017
AUD
Audax Rio
3 - 0
Queimados
QUE
67%
17%
15%
27 42 15 0
05 Oct. 2016
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 1
Queimados
QUE
73%
17%
10%
28 48 20 -1
28 Sep. 2016
QUE
Queimados
1 - 2
Rio Sao Paulo
RIO
66%
18%
16%
29 16 13 -1
21 Sep. 2016
RES
Resende
3 - 0
Queimados
QUE
76%
16%
8%
29 53 24 0
14 Sep. 2016
QUE
Queimados
0 - 4
Portuguesa RJ
POR
19%
22%
59%
31 44 13 -2
X