Barra da Tijuca vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+208%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CGA
2 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
PER
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 2
BAR
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CEC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 1
BAR
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CDA
1 - 1
ADC
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ADC
2 - 2
CER
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CIG
0 - 0
ADC
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ADC
1 - 1
MES
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
ADC
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |