Championship round 10

Barnsley vs Aston Villa analysis

Barnsley Aston Villa
71 ELO 74
9.8% Tilt 4.5%
1845º General ELO ranking 55º
53º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Barnsley
26.2%
Draw
31%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Barnsley
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barnsley
-13%
+10%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Barnsley
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnsley
Barnsley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
47%
26%
27%
71 73 2 0
17 Sep. 2016
BAR
Barnsley
1 - 2
Reading
REA
54%
24%
23%
72 68 4 -1
13 Sep. 2016
WOL
Wolves
0 - 4
Barnsley
BAR
45%
26%
29%
71 71 0 +1
10 Sep. 2016
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 2
Barnsley
BAR
40%
28%
32%
71 70 1 0
27 Aug. 2016
BAR
Barnsley
4 - 0
Rotherham United
ROT
62%
22%
16%
70 62 8 +1

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
32%
27%
41%
74 80 6 0
17 Sep. 2016
IPS
Ipswich Town
0 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
37%
27%
36%
74 70 4 0
14 Sep. 2016
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
54%
25%
22%
74 69 5 0
11 Sep. 2016
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
58%
24%
18%
74 68 6 0
27 Aug. 2016
BRI
Bristol City
3 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
35%
27%
38%
75 68 7 -1