Barnet vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
LEY
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 0
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
NOT
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
WYC
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |