National League Round 30

Barnet vs Farnborough analysis

Barnet Farnborough
46 ELO 48
3.6% Tilt 7.2%
2494º General ELO ranking 6099º
65º Country ELO ranking 205º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Barnet
22.5%
Draw
22.7%
Farnborough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Barnet
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
Farnborough
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barnet
+24%
-12%
Farnborough

ELO progression

Barnet
Farnborough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnet
Barnet
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2002
LEI
Leigh
3 - 3
Barnet
BAR
56%
22%
22%
48 51 3 0
09 Feb. 2002
BAR
Barnet
1 - 2
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
64%
20%
16%
49 44 5 -1
19 Jan. 2002
CHE
Chester
1 - 0
Barnet
BAR
35%
27%
38%
49 46 3 0
29 Dec. 2001
SCA
Scarborough
3 - 0
Barnet
BAR
34%
26%
40%
51 45 6 -2
26 Dec. 2001
BAR
Barnet
0 - 3
Stevenage
STE
55%
24%
22%
52 51 1 -1

Matches

Farnborough
Farnborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2002
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
37%
26%
38%
47 52 5 0
09 Feb. 2002
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
2 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
67%
20%
13%
47 60 13 0
19 Jan. 2002
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 0
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
56%
23%
21%
46 43 3 +1
05 Jan. 2002
MAR
Margate
2 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
46%
25%
29%
47 46 1 -1
29 Dec. 2001
FAR
Farnborough
0 - 1
Southport
SOU
42%
26%
32%
48 53 5 -1