Barnet vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
WRE
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
WOK
0 - 0
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAL
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WES
5 - 0
CON
49%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
HIS
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CON
4 - 3
STI
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CON
4 - 1
MAI
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |