Barnet vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
DAG
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHE
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLE
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STA
3 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 1
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GUL
2 - 1
CHE
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
BRO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |