Barnechea vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
ACS
21%
22%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 3
SWA
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CSD
0 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NUB
0 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 1
BAR
79%
14%
6%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 0
PUE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DLS
0 - 2
COB
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 1
SWA
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CSL
3 - 1
DLS
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |