Copa Chile . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Barnechea vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
57.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 3
SWA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CSD
0 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NUB
0 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 1
BAR
79%
14%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
4 - 0
ULC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 0
ACS
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ACS
3 - 1
IQU
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 1
BAR
79%
14%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACS
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -2 |