Barco vs CD Lugo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 2
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
PON
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BER
2 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 4
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POL
2 - 0
COM
26%
23%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
POL
4 - 0
RCV
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ALO
2 - 2
POL
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POL
3 - 0
ARE
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
OUR
2 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |