Barcia CF vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+879%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
3 - 2
BAR
65%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TRE
7 - 3
BAR
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 3
PDV
22%
20%
58%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 2
BAR
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 3
RVL
49%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
VER
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAI
1 - 2
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 3
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRE
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |