Barcia CF vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MCU
1 - 1
BAR
22%
23%
56%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
MUR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AND
1 - 2
BAR
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
COV
0 - 2
BAR
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 0
REA
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NAR
3 - 2
AST
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MCU
2 - 3
NAR
51%
24%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NAR
4 - 2
MUR
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
AND
3 - 2
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |