Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FCB
6 - 1
SEV
80%
13%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GIR
0 - 2
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
2 - 0
FCB
20%
23%
58%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FCB
3 - 1
LEG
93%
6%
1%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
FCB
3 - 0
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
VCF
3 - 1
GET
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
VCF
3 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
GET
1 - 0
VCF
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
46%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
VCF
3 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |