Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 0
FCB
15%
22%
63%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 1
LEG
95%
4%
1%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
4 - 1
ROM
85%
10%
5%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
93%
5%
1%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VCF
1 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LEG
0 - 1
VCF
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VCF
3 - 1
ALA
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
48%
24%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VCF
2 - 0
BET
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |